A Tribo
As mentes mais afiadas dos mercados de previsao, todas em um so lugar. Signal real. Responsabilidade real. Sem ruido.
Os Canais
Signal Drop
Breaking prediction market news and fresh signals
Takes Contrarios
Challenge the consensus. Defend your position.
Batalhas de Previsao
Head-to-head prediction challenges
Reality Check
When markets prove opinions wrong
Edge Lab
Strategies, tools, and analytical frameworks
Off-Market
Everything else. Memes, meta, and tribe vibes.
O Que Rola La Dentro
Polymarket just flipped on the Fed — 62% now pricing cuts before July
Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin prediction markets are more accurate than crypto Twitter
BATTLE: Will AI pass the Turing test by 2027? I'm taking the No side at 34¢
Reality Check: Remember when pundits said the housing market would crash? Markets said no. Markets were right.
My framework for finding mispriced markets: volume divergence + sentiment analysis
If prediction markets existed in 1999, the dot-com crash would've been priced in by August
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