The Movement

We don't predict the future. We trade on it.

Creation Story

Prediction Bets was born because forecasting is broken. People argue endlessly, but markets settle reality. Prediction Bets organizes collective intelligence into a living system.

Our Creed

1

Reality is measurable.

2

Skin in the game matters.

3

Consensus emerges from incentives.

4

Prediction is participation, not opinion.

Sacred Words

Signal
Actionable market intelligence
Edge
Informational advantage over consensus
Consensus
The collective market position
Reality Check
When markets prove opinions wrong
Market Truth
Prices as the arbiter of probability
Prediction Mindset
Thinking in probabilities, not certainties

We Stand Against

  • ×Talking heads
  • ×Guesswork without risk
  • ×Clickbait forecasting
  • ×Authority without accountability

Reality beats opinion. Markets reveal truth.

Join the Tribe
The Movement | Prediction Bets | Prediction Bets