The Tribe
The sharpest minds in prediction markets, all in one place. Real signal. Real accountability. No noise.
The Channels
Signal Drop
Breaking prediction market news and fresh signals
Contrarian Takes
Challenge the consensus. Defend your position.
Prediction Battles
Head-to-head prediction challenges
Reality Check
When markets prove opinions wrong
Edge Lab
Strategies, tools, and analytical frameworks
Off-Market
Everything else. Memes, meta, and tribe vibes.
What's Happening Inside
Polymarket just flipped on the Fed — 62% now pricing cuts before July
Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin prediction markets are more accurate than crypto Twitter
BATTLE: Will AI pass the Turing test by 2027? I'm taking the No side at 34¢
Reality Check: Remember when pundits said the housing market would crash? Markets said no. Markets were right.
My framework for finding mispriced markets: volume divergence + sentiment analysis
If prediction markets existed in 1999, the dot-com crash would've been priced in by August
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